Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 12.017841 13.748385 15.652209 17.904007 20.497294 23.393362 26.877244
2025-11-16 9.493968 11.700341 14.321495 17.672277 21.852908 26.911121 33.517199
2025-11-23 7.944210 10.318137 13.295847 17.319027 22.634846 29.448697 38.894436
2025-11-30 7.258983 9.848411 13.246753 18.055870 24.723923 33.697911 46.784159
2025-12-07 6.578431 9.265796 12.932706 18.333819 26.142544 37.107346 53.821054
2025-12-14 5.936338 8.643215 12.466441 18.301969 27.059672 39.833532 60.096455
2025-12-21 5.367371 8.052607 11.965678 18.134809 27.713630 42.179337 65.980847
2025-12-28 5.094988 7.864471 12.021962 18.781784 29.624761 46.554348 75.407459
2026-01-04 4.810369 7.623485 11.964497 19.228363 31.238991 50.585682 84.666059
2026-01-11 4.599567 7.473939 12.027107 19.857218 33.184821 55.303276 95.522365
2026-01-18 4.189905 6.962778 11.459710 19.386050 33.235218 56.848718 101.041360
2026-01-25 3.856671 6.547633 11.010836 19.065449 33.496458 58.749379 107.340987
2026-02-01 3.566873 6.185821 10.627746 18.834759 33.912411 60.992284 114.573318
2026-02-08 3.301984 5.844475 10.250258 18.576894 34.248992 63.113205 121.789846
2026-02-15 3.046918 5.498283 9.833503 18.205024 34.328980 64.746679 128.201922
2026-02-22 2.983390 5.493209 10.027067 18.981415 36.649427 70.830341 144.104542
2026-03-01 2.856748 5.359755 9.971803 19.274307 38.049316 75.241343 157.040931
2026-03-08 2.698188 5.152587 9.760337 19.240743 38.788861 78.390587 167.638162
2026-03-15 2.535620 4.924587 9.490265 19.064597 39.215955 80.929039 177.166945
2026-03-22 2.484680 4.911560 9.637116 19.746375 41.487357 87.522797 196.393970
2026-03-29 2.412538 4.849984 9.681575 20.217012 43.348051 93.405677 214.645156
2026-04-05 2.363937 4.832258 9.812400 20.879789 45.684066 100.541366 236.608673
2026-04-12 2.204244 4.571768 9.422762 20.383200 45.393830 101.769768 244.558464